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Bourgoin Jallieu vs Martigues

France France

Coupe de France 2024/2025 Stade Pierre Rajon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bourgoin Jallieu play Martigues in the Coupe de France 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bourgoin Jallieu averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Martigues averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Bourgoin Jallieu won 1, Martigues won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 21, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Bourgoin Jallieu and 0.94 for Martigues. This points to a Bourgoin Jallieu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bourgoin Jallieu
17%
Draws
37%
Martigues
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bourgoin Jallieu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Bourgoin Jallieu picked up more points recently compared to Martigues.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Bourgoin Jallieu Clean Sheet 24%
Martigues Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourgoin Jallieu Martigues
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2024 Coupe de France
Bourgoin Jallieu vs Martigues
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bourgoin Jallieu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohser P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bozkurt C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Siby M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourgoin Jallieu 46 / 100
Martigues 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourgoin Jallieu Martigues

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bourgoin Jallieu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bourgoin Jallieu attacking → ← attacking Martigues

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourgoin Jallieu scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Martigues let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Bourgoin Jallieu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Martigues lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75