Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bourne vs Boldmere St Michaels

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bourne
20%
Draws
40%
Boldmere St Michaels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bourne haven't matched Boldmere St Michaels's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Boldmere St Michaels arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bourne Clean Sheet 19%
Boldmere St Michaels Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bourne Boldmere St Michaels
Matches Played 11 24
Wins 3 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 FA Cup
Boldmere St Michaels vs Bourne
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 FA Cup
Bourne vs Boldmere St Michaels
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bourne 32 / 100
Boldmere St Michaels 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bourne Boldmere St Michaels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boldmere St Michaels let in goals in 92% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bourne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bourne scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Scoring Trends

Bourne VS Boldmere St Michaels
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bourne

(Home)
12 Sept
Bourne
3 : 2
Hanley Town
08 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
Bourne
05 Sept
Bourne
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Bourne
0 : 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Page 1 of 3

Boldmere St Michaels

(Away)
12 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 3
Bedworth United
08 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
Bourne
05 Sept
Bourne
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
St Ives Town
28 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 2
Chasetown
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
Marine -
TBD -
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Radcliffe -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
Telford -
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Worksop -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
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Hereford -
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Bedford -
TBD -
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King’s Lynn -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Walton & Hersham -
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Horsham FC -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Maidenhead -
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Ebbsfleet -
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Dover Ath. -
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Folkestone -
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Merthyr Town -
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Truro -
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Salisbury -
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Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
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Quarter-finals
Heaton Stannington -
Trafford -
AFC Emley -
Spennymoor -
Bury FC -
Workington -
Dunston -
Scarborough Athletic -
Redcar Town -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
Marine -
Radcliffe -
Lower Breck -
Chester -
Atherton Collieries -
Prescot Cables -
Redcar Athletic -
Macclesfield -
Warrington Rylands -
Chorley -
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Warrington Town -
South Liverpool -
South Shields -
Witton Albion -
Morecambe -
Southport -
United of Manchester -
Ossett United -
Bradford PA -
Lancaster -
Bromsgrove -
Leek Town -
Barton Town -
Boldmere St Michaels -
Leamington -
Gainsborough -
Alvechurch -
Racing Club Warwick -
Harborough -
Rushall -
Telford -
Worksop -
Kettering -
Quorn -
Halesowen -
Mickleover -
Hednesford -
Coventry United -
Spalding United -
Hanley Town -
Worcester -
Stratford -
Stafford -
Hereford -
Anstey Nomads -
Newcastle Town -
Redditch -
Evesham -
FC Witham Town -
St. Albans -
Gorleston -
Bury Town -
Chesham -
Ware -
Berkhamsted Town -
Hendon -
Hemel Hempstead -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hitchin -
Leiston -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Peterborough Sports -
Bedford -
King’s Lynn -
Aveley -
Brentwood -
Needham Market -
Braintree -
Cambridge City -
Buckhurst Hill -
Billericay -
Enfield Town -
Harleston Town -
Real Bedford -
Woodford Town -
Mulbarton Wanderers -
Canvey Island -
Chelmsford -
Waltham Abbey -
Dagenham & Red. -
Kingstonian -
Leatherhead -
Dartford -
Hayes & Yeading -
Chertsey Town -
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough -
Cray Wanderers -
Maidstone -
Slough Town -
Chatham -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Welling -
Southall FC -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastbourne Borough -
Windsor & Eton -
Snodland -
Sheppey United -
Walton & Hersham -
Horsham FC -
Tonbridge -
Ramsgate -
Hanwell Town -
Burgess Hill -
Hampton & Richmond -
Crowborough -
Uxbridge -
Farnborough -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
Chichester City -
SE Dons -
Dover Ath. -
Folkestone -
Pagham -
Hanworth Villa -
AFC Totton -
Gloucester City -
Torquay -
AFC Stoneham -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wimborne -
Dorchester -
Oxford City -
Cirencester -
Farnham -
Swindon Supermarine -
Weymouth -
Slimbridge -
Hungerford -
Brackley -
Portchester -
Tiverton -
Sholing -
Bishops Cleeve -
Tadley Calleva -
Merthyr Town -
Truro -
Frome Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
Thame United -
Exmouth Town -
Yate -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
Taunton Town -
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