Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Match Events
26'
26'
Evanilson
Assist: Scott A.
33'
33'
Jimenez A.
Assist: Hill J.
34'
34'
Sub
Gomez J. In: Endo W.
Out: Gomez J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Bournemouth and Liverpool finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Liverpool come out ahead of Bournemouth on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Bournemouth's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Liverpool here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 20%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bournemouth | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
4:2
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
3:0
Jan 21, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Evanilson
1 Goals Assists Leader Jimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer van Dijk V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Szoboszlai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bournemouth 58 / 100
Liverpool 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bournemouth Liverpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bournemouth's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Bournemouth went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Liverpool conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bournemouth VS Liverpool
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
03 May
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
22 Apr
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Leeds
20 Mar
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Manchester United
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool
(Away) 25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Chelsea
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 7
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
19 Apr
Everton
1 : 2 Liverpool
08 Apr
PSG
2 : 0 Liverpool
04 Apr
Manchester City
4 : 0 Liverpool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
