Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Tritar M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Bousalem and Hamam-Sousse finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamam-Sousse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bousalem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hamam-Sousse come out ahead of Bousalem on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Bousalem's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Hamam-Sousse have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 20%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bousalem | Hamam-Sousse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs Hamam-Sousse
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Bousalem
1:0
Jan 5, 2020 Tunisia Cup
Hamam-Sousse vs Bousalem
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bousalem Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Hamam-Sousse Compare
Top Goalscorer Tritar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bousalem 42 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bousalem Hamam-Sousse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hamam-Sousse conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Bousalem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Hamam-Sousse has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Bousalem scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Bousalem VS Hamam-Sousse
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bousalem
(Home) 11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0 Msaken
05 Apr
Bousalem
0 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
28 Feb
Bousalem
0 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
Page 1 of 3
Hamam-Sousse
(Away) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
