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Stadium Background

Brackley vs Harborough

England England

National League North St James Park, Brackley
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Fogarty T.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Brackley and Harborough finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brackley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brackley
20%
Draws
40%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Harborough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Harborough's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Brackley Clean Sheet 16%
Harborough Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brackley Harborough
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.85 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League North
Brackley vs Harborough
1:0
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Harborough vs Brackley
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Harborough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brackley 28 / 100
Harborough 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brackley Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Brackley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Brackley found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Brackley VS Harborough
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brackley

(Home)
19 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Portchester
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1
Marine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)