This match ends 2-1, with Bradford City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
Bradford City
33%
Draws
27%
Grimsby
Draw rate projection: 33%Favored: Bradford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
Grimsby carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 40%.
Grimsby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Bradford City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals25%
Over 4.5 Goals11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)74.2%
Bradford City Clean Sheet19%
Grimsby Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Bradford City
Grimsby
Matches Played
29
28
Wins
13
14
Draws
4
8
Losses
12
6
Goals Scored
1.88
1.63
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
0.88
0.88
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2025EFL Trophy
Bradford CityvsGrimsby
2:1
Jan 4, 2025League Two
Bradford CityvsGrimsby
3:1
Aug 31, 2024League Two
GrimsbyvsBradford City
2:1
Aug 13, 2024EFL Cup
GrimsbyvsBradford City
2:1
Apr 1, 2024League Two
GrimsbyvsBradford City
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bradford City Compare
Top GoalscorerCook A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game1.45
Avg xA / game0.94
Grimsby Compare
Avg xG / game1.48
Avg xA / game0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bradford City40 / 100
Grimsby26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bradford City Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickBRA Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bradford City's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Grimsby has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Bradford City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.