Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Valley Parade, Bradford

Bradford City

2 - 1

Grimsby

Our Tip

Match Events

Onoh F.

26'

Brown H.

31'

Metcalfe J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Bradford City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Bradford City

20%

Draws

28%

Grimsby

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Bradford City carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 50%.
Bradford City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Bradford City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Bradford City Clean Sheet 20%

Grimsby Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bradford City	Grimsby
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	14
Draws	5	9
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	1.48	1.86
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy

Bradford City vs Grimsby

2:1

Jan 4, 2025 League Two

Bradford City vs Grimsby

3:1

Aug 31, 2024 League Two

Grimsby vs Bradford City

2:1

Aug 13, 2024 EFL Cup

Grimsby vs Bradford City

2:1

Apr 1, 2024 League Two

Grimsby vs Bradford City

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Grimsby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bradford City 49 / 100

Grimsby 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bradford City Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bradford City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Bradford City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bradford City scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Grimsby has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bradford City VS Grimsby

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bradford City

(Home)

22 Sept

Bradford City

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

19 Sept

Luton

0 : 1

Bradford City

12 Sept

Notts County

0 : 1

Bradford City

08 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 3

Bradford City

05 Sept

Bradford City

1 : 0

Mansfield

Page 1 of 6

Grimsby

(Away)

22 Sept

Notts County

2 : 1

Grimsby

19 Sept

Grimsby

2 : 0

Crawley Town

12 Sept

Grimsby

2 : 0

Bristol Rovers

05 Sept

Cheltenham

2 : 2

Grimsby

01 Sept

Accrington

2 : 2

Grimsby

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