Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bradford City vs Grimsby

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Valley Parade, Bradford
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Onoh F.
26'
Brown H.
31'
Metcalfe J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Bradford City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bradford City
33%
Draws
27%
Grimsby
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Grimsby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Grimsby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bradford City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 19%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bradford City Grimsby
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bradford City vs Grimsby
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 League Two
Bradford City vs Grimsby
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Bradford City
2:1
Aug 13, 2024 EFL Cup
Grimsby vs Bradford City
2:1
Apr 1, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Bradford City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grimsby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bradford City 40 / 100
Grimsby 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bradford City Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bradford City's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Grimsby has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bradford City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bradford City VS Grimsby
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bradford City

(Home)
24 Jul
Gmunden
0 : 4
Bradford City
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Halifax
1 : 6
Bradford City
04 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 2
Bradford City
14 May
Bradford City
0 : 1
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

Grimsby

(Away)
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1
Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1
Grimsby
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0
Grimsby
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)