Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bragantino PA vs Tuna Luso

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio São Benedito, Bragança Para
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Edicleber
29'
Gustavo Henrique
65' Event
Gileard

AI Match Summary

The Paraense game between Bragantino PA and Tuna Luso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bragantino PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bragantino PA
33%
Draws
27%
Tuna Luso
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bragantino PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tuna Luso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bragantino PA are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Bragantino PA Clean Sheet 68%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino PA Tuna Luso
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 9 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paraense
Bragantino PA vs Tuna Luso
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA
2:1
Jan 24, 2024 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA
2:2
Feb 16, 2023 Paraense
Bragantino PA vs Tuna Luso
3:3
Mar 23, 2022 Paraense
Tuna Luso vs Bragantino PA
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Edicleber
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gileard
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Tuna Luso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino PA 50 / 100
Tuna Luso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino PA Tuna Luso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bragantino PA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tuna Luso conceded in 71% of 42 recent games.

Bragantino PA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino PA VS Tuna Luso
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino PA

(Home)
19 Feb
Primavera AC
2 : 1
Bragantino PA
15 Feb
Bragantino PA
2 : 0
Tuna Luso
12 Feb
Bragantino PA
1 : 1
Sao Raimundo PA
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
05 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Bragantino PA
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Tuna Luso

(Away)
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2
Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0
Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameta63218:411
2Capitao Poco63129:610
3Paysandu PA63126:410
4Aguia De Maraba63128:710
5Remo62409:510
6Tuna Luso63033:59
7Castanhal62224:58
8Santa Rosa62134:77
9Sao Raimundo PA61326:86
10Amazonia IFC61327:116
11Bragantino PA61236:75
12Sao Francisco61234:55
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)