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Stadium Background

Bragantino vs Carabobo

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Mosquera H.
46'
Sub
Gabriel In: Eduardo Sasha
Out: Gabriel
46'
Sub
Mosquera H. In: Fernando Santos
Out: Mosquera H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bragantino
20%
Draws
57%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Carabobo have won more games recently than Bragantino.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Carabobo taking it.
  • Carabobo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bragantino, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 19%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino Carabobo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Bragantino vs Carabobo
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Carabobo vs Bragantino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitta I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernando Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Carabobo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 28 / 100
Carabobo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabobo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Carabobo let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Bragantino has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS Carabobo
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0
Gremio
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3
Carabobo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)