Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brage vs Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Domnarvsvallen, Borlange
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Stensrud A.
Assist: Azzi H.
40' Event
Stensrud A.
44' Event
Lundin A.
Assist: Nordh G.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Brage and Ostersund finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brage
39%
Draws
31%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Brage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Brage Clean Sheet 13%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brage Ostersund
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Ostersund
2:4
Oct 18, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Brage
1:0
May 5, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Ostersund
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Superettan
Ostersund vs Brage
1:1
May 12, 2024 Superettan
Brage vs Ostersund
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skille J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Stensrud A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Navassardian E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brage 30 / 100
Ostersund 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brage Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Ostersund has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Brage has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brage VS Ostersund
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brage

(Home)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
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Ostersund

(Away)
26 Jul
Norrby
2 : 2
Ostersund
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)