Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brann vs Valerenga

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Brann Stadion, Bergen
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brann host Valerenga in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Brann at 1.63 goals for, 2 against; Valerenga at 1.63 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Brann slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2025, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.81) point toward Valerenga. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brann
39%
Draws
30%
Valerenga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga come out ahead of Brann on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brann have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Brann Clean Sheet 11%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Valerenga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Valerenga
3:2
May 3, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Brann
2:4
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Brann vs Valerenga
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Brann
0:3
Oct 8, 2023 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Brann
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 30 / 100
Valerenga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Valerenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brann scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Valerenga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Brann has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Valerenga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brann

(Home)
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
03 Jul
Brann
1 : 2
Kristiansund
26 Jun
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Brann
29 May
Brann
1 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
24 May
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 1
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga

(Away)
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
18 Jun
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1
Valerenga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt1392231:1129
2Tromso1484222:1428
3Viking1190229:1127
4Lillestrom1271419:1122
5Molde1262420:1520
6Ham-Kam1153319:1818
7Sarpsborg 081252514:1617
8Valerenga1352619:2217
9Brann1351726:2116
10Sandefjord1243512:1515
11Fredrikstad1342715:2314
12Rosenborg1233612:1812
13KFUM Oslo1233612:1912
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1232711:2111
16Start1314814:307
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)