Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brann vs Valerenga

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Brann Stadion, Bergen
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Lange C.
24' Event
Bjordal H.
Assist: Haren L.
41' Event
Lange C.
Assist: Ambina F.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Brann and Valerenga finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Brann
30%
Draws
29%
Valerenga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brann come out ahead of Valerenga on wins alone.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Valerenga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brann have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brann Valerenga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Brann vs Valerenga
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Valerenga
3:2
May 3, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Brann
2:4
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Brann vs Valerenga
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Brann
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer Myhre F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjordal H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lange C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brann 26 / 100
Valerenga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brann Valerenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brann scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Valerenga has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Brann has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brann VS Valerenga
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brann

(Home)
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)