Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Masson G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Brasil de Pelotas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brasil de Pelotas
22%
Draws
18%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brasil de Pelotas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brasil de Pelotas, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 6
Draws 12 13
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Santa Cruz RS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Masson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 68 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RS conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Brasil de Pelotas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS Santa Cruz RS
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
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Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas2
Gramadense3