Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Recopa Gaucho Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas Logo

Brasil de Pelotas

1 - 2
FT
Internacional Logo

Internacional

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Matheus Streit In: da Luz Farias O.
Out: Matheus Streit
60'
Sub
Yuri Farias In: Zamora Y.
Out: Yuri Farias
67'
Sub
da Silva Chagas K. In: Allex
Out: da Silva Chagas K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Brasil de Pelotas
20%
Draws
22%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional have won more games recently than Brasil de Pelotas.
  • Brasil de Pelotas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Internacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Internacional, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Internacional have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
Internacional Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas Internacional
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 14 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Recopa Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Internacional
1:2
Feb 5, 2025 Gaucho
Internacional vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:0
Feb 15, 2024 Gaucho
Internacional vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:1
Feb 11, 2023 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Internacional
0:1
Feb 17, 2022 Gaucho
Internacional vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lula
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 77 / 100
Internacional 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Internacional let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Brasil de Pelotas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS Internacional
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
09 Sept
Veranopolis
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

Internacional

(Away)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brasil de Pelotas 1
Internacional 2