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Brasilia FC (DF) vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brasilia FC (DF)
39%
Draws
31%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brasilia FC (DF) lately — more wins on the board than Legiao.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brasilia FC (DF) have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Brasilia FC (DF) Clean Sheet 20%
Legiao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasilia FC (DF) Legiao
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 2.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Brasilia FC (DF)
1:2
Jan 26, 2013 Brasiliense
Brasilia FC (DF) vs Legiao
1:1
Mar 8, 2009 Brasiliense
Brasilia FC (DF) vs Legiao
2:1
Feb 1, 2009 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Brasilia FC (DF)
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasilia FC (DF) 31 / 100
Legiao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasilia FC (DF) Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brasilia FC (DF) scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Legiao has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Legiao's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasilia FC (DF) VS Legiao
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasilia FC (DF)

(Home)
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
12 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
1 : 3
Capital
07 Feb
Samambaia
4 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
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Legiao

(Away)
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
09 Feb
Capital
1 : 0
Legiao
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasiliense63215:311
2Sobradinho621313:147
3Luziania62135:67
4Unai EC61237:105
5Legiao60425:84
6Botafogo DF60244:132
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasilia FC (DF)651011:416
2Gama633012:712
3Ceilandia63309:512
4Capital63128:510
5Ceilandense621310:87
6Brazlandia60334:103
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)