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Brasiliense U20 vs Capital DF U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brasiliense U20 play Capital DF U20 in the Brasiliense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brasiliense U20 averaged 3.12 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Capital DF U20 averaged 3.21 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Brasiliense U20 won 2, Capital DF U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Brasiliense U20 and 1.94 for Capital DF U20. This points to a Brasiliense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Brasiliense U20
15%
Draws
41%
Capital DF U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brasiliense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasiliense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Capital DF U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Brasiliense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense U20 Capital DF U20
Matches Played 42 38
Wins 29 30
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 3.12 3.21
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Brasiliense U20 vs Capital DF U20
4:2
Jun 22, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Brasiliense U20 vs Capital DF U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense U20 42 / 100
Capital DF U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense U20 Capital DF U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brasiliense U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brasiliense U20 attacking → ← attacking Capital DF U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasiliense U20 scored in 83% of their last 42 games.

Capital DF U20 let in goals in 50% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Brasiliense U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Capital DF U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

92 Points in last 5 93
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brasiliense U20761030:219
2Legiao U20760115:618
3Capital DF U20751126:716
4Sobradinho U20750228:415
5Samambaia U20733110:612
6Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20830512:219
7Brazlandia U20721410:107
8Candango U2082157:247
9Samambaense U2082065:346
10Gama U20712415:165
11ARUC U2070163:311
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canaa U20770034:521
2Planaltina U20761023:519
3Real Brasilia U20760133:518
4Santa Maria U20731315:1510
5Brasilia U20823315:179
6Gremio Valparaiso U20730413:169
7Paranoa U20821511:217
8Ceilandia U20821518:337
9Ceilandense U2071334:136
10Cruzeiro DF U2071247:205
11Luziania U2070255:282