Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasiliense vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao), Taguatinga
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Soares R.
22' Event
Felipe Clemente
65' Event
Wallace Pernambucano
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Brasiliense and Gama finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brasiliense
35%
Draws
32%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Gama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 16%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense Gama
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 24
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs Brasiliense
3:2
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D
Brasiliense vs Gama
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Gama
1:2
Mar 26, 2025 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Gama
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Brasiliense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasiliense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Clemente
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 36 / 100
Gama 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasiliense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Brasiliense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Gama conceded in 51% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS Gama
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasiliense

(Home)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
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Gama

(Away)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)