Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bratstvo Gracanica play Sloboda Tuzla in the Prva Liga - FBiH. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bratstvo Gracanica averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Sloboda Tuzla averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Bratstvo Gracanica won 1, Sloboda Tuzla won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Bratstvo Gracanica and 1.38 for Sloboda Tuzla. This points to a Sloboda Tuzla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bratstvo Gracanica
25%
Draws
39%
Sloboda Tuzla
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sloboda Tuzla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bratstvo Gracanica picked up more points recently compared to Sloboda Tuzla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Bratstvo Gracanica Clean Sheet 17%
Sloboda Tuzla Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bratstvo Gracanica Sloboda Tuzla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Bratstvo Gracanica
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla
1:1
May 26, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Sloboda Tuzla vs Bratstvo Gracanica
2:0
Nov 4, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla
2:1
Jan 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Sloboda Tuzla vs Bratstvo Gracanica
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bratstvo Gracanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Softic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sloboda Tuzla Compare

Top Goalscorer Abidovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bratstvo Gracanica 36 / 100
Sloboda Tuzla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bratstvo Gracanica Sloboda Tuzla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sloboda Tuzla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bratstvo Gracanica attacking → ← attacking Sloboda Tuzla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bratstvo Gracanica scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sloboda Tuzla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bratstvo Gracanica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sloboda Tuzla lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 42
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Celik Zenica26178152:1959
2Stupcanica26125940:2741
3Sloboda Tuzla26125934:2941
4Jedinstvo Bihac26125929:3641
5NK GOSK Gabela26117836:2640
6Travnik26107935:2637
7TOSK Tesanj26107935:3037
8Hadzici261061034:3736
9Tomislav26881038:3532
10Igman Konjic26951229:4432
11Banovici26871131:3331
12Bratstvo Gracanica26710926:2831
13NK Vitez26841427:3828
14Tuzla City26521920:5817