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Bray vs St. Patricks

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mata M. A.
78' Event
Rooney S.
85' Event
Leavy K.

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bray
15%
Draws
59%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • St. Patricks have won more games recently than Bray.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Patricks have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bray Clean Sheet 13%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray St. Patricks
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Bray vs St. Patricks
0:3
Jan 21, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Patricks vs Bray
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly
St. Patricks vs Bray
6:0
Jul 23, 2021 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Bray
6:0
Aug 9, 2019 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Bray
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rooney S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 30 / 100
St. Patricks 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: St. Patricks conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bray stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS St. Patricks
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
07 Aug
Bray
5 : 0
Finn Harps
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St. Patricks

(Away)
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
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