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Breno vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Biondini G.
50' Event
Capelli A.
90' Event
Campani F.

AI Match Summary

Folgore Caratese in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Breno
35%
Draws
24%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Breno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese have won more games recently than Breno.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Breno Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Folgore Caratese
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Breno
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Breno
4:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Folgore Caratese
1:0
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Breno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Biondini G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 41 / 100
Folgore Caratese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Breno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Breno's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Breno VS Folgore Caratese
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)