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Brentwood vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sach B.
40' Event
West D.
72' Event
Sach B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Brentwood and Lewes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brentwood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Brentwood
15%
Draws
26%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brentwood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Brentwood carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Brentwood taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 10%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentwood Lewes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.89 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Lewes
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Brentwood
4:2
Mar 19, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Lewes
0:1
Sep 19, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Brentwood
1:5
Oct 30, 2012 FA Trophy
Lewes vs Brentwood
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Sach B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer West D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentwood 56 / 100
Lewes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentwood Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentwood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Brentwood found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Lewes let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Brentwood remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brentwood VS Lewes
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentwood

(Home)
22 Sept
Brentwood
5 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
19 Sept
Aveley
2 : 3
Brentwood
15 Sept
Brentwood
2 : 3
Stanway Rovers
12 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 1
Brentwood
08 Sept
Brentwood
4 : 2
Concord Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Lewes

(Away)
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)