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Brest vs Angers

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sbai A.
10'
Bamba A.
19'
Chardonnet B.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Brest and Angers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brest
39%
Draws
30%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Angers come out ahead of Brest on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Brest Clean Sheet 14%
Angers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Angers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Angers
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Brest
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Angers
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Brest
2:0
Jan 6, 2024 Coupe de France
Brest vs Angers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Castillo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sbai A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 31 / 100
Angers 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Angers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Angers let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Angers
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
Page 1 of 6

Angers

(Away)
25 Jul
Angers
2 : 1
Creteil
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
10 May
Angers
1 : 1
Strasbourg
03 May
Auxerre
3 : 1
Angers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)