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Brest vs Angers

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Francis-Le Blé
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brest play Angers in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brest averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Angers averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Brest won 3, Angers won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Brest and 1.44 for Angers. This points to a Brest double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brest
20%
Draws
38%
Angers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Angers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Brest.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Brest.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligue 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Brest Clean Sheet 16%
Angers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Angers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Angers
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Brest
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Angers
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Brest
2:0
Jan 6, 2024 Coupe de France
Brest vs Angers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Castillo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sbai A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 41 / 100
Angers 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Angers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Angers let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Brest went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Angers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Angers
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617