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Brest vs Le Havre

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Mambimbi F.
44'
Locko B.
46'
Sub
Magnetti H. In: Kante I. Y.
Out: Magnetti H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Brest and Le Havre finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Brest
35%
Draws
19%
Le Havre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brest come out ahead of Le Havre on wins alone.
  • Brest are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Brest Clean Sheet 17%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Le Havre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Le Havre
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Brest vs Le Havre
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Le Havre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 41 / 100
Le Havre 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Le Havre conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Le Havre
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0
Brest
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Le Havre

(Away)
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
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