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Brest vs Le Havre

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Mambimbi F.
44'
Locko B.
46'
Sub
Magnetti H. In: Kante I. Y.
Out: Magnetti H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Brest and Le Havre finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brest
39%
Draws
30%
Le Havre
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brest come out ahead of Le Havre on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Brest Clean Sheet 12%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Le Havre
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Le Havre
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Brest vs Le Havre
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Brest
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Le Havre
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Le Havre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 30 / 100
Le Havre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Le Havre has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Le Havre
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
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Le Havre

(Away)
25 Jul
Le Havre
2 : 1
Red Star
17 Jul
Le Havre
1 : 2
Amiens SC
17 May
Lorient
0 : 2
Le Havre
10 May
Le Havre
0 : 1
Marseille
03 May
Lille
1 : 1
Le Havre
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