Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Guindo D.
Assist: Chotard J.
24'
24'
Tousart L.
Assist: Guindo D.
42'
42'
Dina Ebimbe J.
Assist: Ajorque L.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Brest and Lens finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lens
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Lens carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Lens's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lens have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%
Lens Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brest | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lens
3:3
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Brest
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lens
1:3
Aug 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Brest
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Brest
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brest Compare
Top Goalscorer Guindo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tousart L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lens Compare
Top Goalscorer Thauvin F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sima A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brest 10 / 100
Lens 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brest Lens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Brest scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Lens has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brest VS Lens
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Brest
(Home) 22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2 Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2 Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1 Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2 Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0 Brest
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2 Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2 Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1 Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2 Strasbourg
24 Apr
Brest
3 : 3 Lens
Page 1 of 3
Lens
(Away) 25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2 Charleroi
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1 Boulogne
22 May
Lens
3 : 1 Nice
17 May
Lyon
0 : 4 Lens
13 May
Lens
0 : 2 PSG
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Lyon
0 : 4 Lens
02 May
Nice
1 : 1 Lens
24 Apr
Brest
3 : 3 Lens
04 Apr
Lille
3 : 0 Lens
14 Mar
Lorient
2 : 1 Lens
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
