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Stadium Background

Brest vs Lorient

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Magnetti H.
50' Event
Labeau Lascary R.
63'
Sub
Dieng B. In: Soumano S.
Out: Dieng B.

AI Match Summary

Brest in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Brest
17%
Draws
70%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Brest haven't matched Lorient's recent run of results.
  • Lorient are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%
Lorient Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Lorient
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lorient
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Brest
3:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Lorient vs Brest
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Brest
0:1
Dec 20, 2023 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lorient
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau Lascary R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajorque L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lorient Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 14 / 100
Lorient 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brest scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Lorient conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Brest has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Lorient
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
03 May
Paris FC
4 : 0
Brest
24 Apr
Brest
3 : 3
Lens
Page 1 of 6

Lorient

(Away)
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
17 May
Lorient
0 : 2
Le Havre
10 May
Metz
0 : 4
Lorient
02 May
PSG
2 : 2
Lorient
26 Apr
Lorient
2 : 3
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)