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Brestnik vs PFC Burgas

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Brestnik and PFC Burgas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PFC Burgas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Brestnik
30%
Draws
35%
PFC Burgas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Brestnik haven't matched PFC Burgas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives PFC Burgas a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PFC Burgas here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brestnik Clean Sheet 20%
PFC Burgas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brestnik PFC Burgas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2013 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs PFC Burgas
1:3
Nov 28, 2012 Third League - South-East
PFC Burgas vs Brestnik
2:0
Mar 25, 2012 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs PFC Burgas
0:1
Sep 14, 2011 Third League - South-East
PFC Burgas vs Brestnik
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brestnik 28 / 100
PFC Burgas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brestnik PFC Burgas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PFC Burgas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PFC Burgas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Brestnik's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Brestnik remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS PFC Burgas
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brestnik

(Home)
01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
7 : 2
Brestnik
25 May
Brestnik
1 : 3
PFC Burgas
18 May
Zagorets
2 : 3
Brestnik
15 May
Brestnik
2 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
09 May
Nesebar
2 : 1
Brestnik
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PFC Burgas

(Away)
30 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
4 : 0
PFC Burgas
23 May
PFC Burgas
1 : 1
Gorna
16 May
Lokomotiv Mezdra
1 : 3
PFC Burgas
02 May
Botev Galabovo
0 : 0
PFC Burgas
26 Apr
PFC Burgas
1 : 1
Sozopol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)