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Brian Lignano vs Calvi Noale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Barbana R.
60' Event
Tarko D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Brian Lignano and Calvi Noale finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Brian Lignano
20%
Draws
58%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calvi Noale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calvi Noale come out ahead of Brian Lignano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Calvi Noale a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 20%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brian Lignano Calvi Noale
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Calvi Noale
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano
1:4
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Brian Lignano
4:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Calvi Noale
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbana R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brian Lignano 24 / 100
Calvi Noale 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brian Lignano Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvi Noale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brian Lignano scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Calvi Noale has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Brian Lignano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brian Lignano VS Calvi Noale
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brian Lignano

(Home)
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Calvi Noale

(Away)
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)