Sport Picks
Brighton U18 vs Birmingham U18
England
Premier League U18 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Degtiarev N.
Assist: Flavell B.
82'
82'
Brennan Z.
Assist: Newnham-Reeve B.
89'
89'
Thompson-Jones R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brighton U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Birmingham U18 haven't matched Brighton U18's recent run of results.
- Brighton U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
- History favors Brighton U18 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Brighton U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Birmingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brighton U18 | Birmingham U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 2.33 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League U18
Birmingham U18 vs Brighton U18
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Birmingham U18
1:1
Mar 24, 2026 Premier League U18
Birmingham U18 vs Brighton U18
0:2
Mar 5, 2022 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Birmingham U18
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 Premier League U18
Birmingham U18 vs Brighton U18
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brighton U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Brennan Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72
Birmingham U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Degtiarev N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brighton U18 84 / 100
Birmingham U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brighton U18 Birmingham U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Brighton U18 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Birmingham U18 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Solid form: Brighton U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brighton U18 VS Birmingham U18
3 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Brighton U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4 Brighton U18
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5 Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 1 Brighton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1 Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4 Brighton U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5 Chelsea U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1 Arsenal U18
12 May
Brighton U18
3 : 1 West Ham U18
09 May
Brighton U18
5 : 0 Fulham U18
25 Apr
Brighton U18
1 : 1 Birmingham U18
Page 1 of 3
Birmingham U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3 West Ham U18
12 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 2 Birmingham U18
05 Sept
Birmingham U18
0 : 3 Ipswich U18
29 Aug
Tottenham U18
8 : 2 Birmingham U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4 Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 2 Birmingham U18
29 Aug
Tottenham U18
8 : 2 Birmingham U18
09 May
Southampton U18
3 : 0 Birmingham U18
25 Apr
Brighton U18
1 : 1 Birmingham U18
17 Mar
Reading U18
2 : 2 Birmingham U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
