Sport Picks
Brighton U23 vs Derby U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Amex Stadium, Brighton 
Match Events
19'
19'
Miller T.
Assist: Moran A.
22'
22'
Thompson L.
23'
23'
Sibley L.
AI Match Summary
Brighton U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brighton U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Brighton U23 have won more games recently than Derby U23.
- Model gives Brighton U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Brighton U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Brighton U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brighton U23 | Derby U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2022 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Derby U23
5:1
Aug 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Brighton U23
0:2
Apr 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Derby U23
3:1
Dec 14, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Brighton U23
1:1
Feb 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Brighton U23
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brighton U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Miller T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Spong J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Derby U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Stretton J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brighton U23 84 / 100
Derby U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brighton U23 Derby U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brighton U23 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Derby U23 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Difficult form: Derby U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brighton U23 VS Derby U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Brighton U23
(Home) 16 Jul
Hull City
2 : 1 Brighton U23
02 May
Tottenham U23
0 : 0 Brighton U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0 Leeds U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0 Leeds U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
11 Mar
Brighton U23
4 : 2 Everton U23
21 Jan
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Manchester United U23
Page 1 of 3
Derby U23
(Away) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
21 Mar
Blackburn U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
