Sport Picks
Brighton U23 vs Derby U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Amex Stadium, Brighton 
Match Events
19'
19'
Miller T.
Assist: Moran A.
22'
22'
Thompson L.
23'
23'
Sibley L.
AI Match Summary
Brighton U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brighton U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Brighton U23 have won more games recently than Derby U23.
- Model gives Brighton U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Brighton U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Brighton U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brighton U23 | Derby U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2022 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Derby U23
5:1
Aug 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Brighton U23
0:2
Apr 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Brighton U23 vs Derby U23
3:1
Dec 14, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Brighton U23
1:1
Feb 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Brighton U23
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brighton U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Miller T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Spong J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Derby U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Stretton J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brighton U23 84 / 100
Derby U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brighton U23 Derby U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brighton U23 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Derby U23 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Difficult form: Derby U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brighton U23 VS Derby U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Brighton U23
(Home) 16 Jul
Hull City
2 : 1 Brighton U23
02 May
Tottenham U23
0 : 0 Brighton U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0 Leeds U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0 Leeds U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
11 Mar
Brighton U23
4 : 2 Everton U23
21 Jan
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Manchester United U23
Page 1 of 3
Derby U23
(Away) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
21 Mar
Blackburn U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
