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Brisbane City U23 vs Queensland Lions U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Brisbane City U23 and Queensland Lions U23 finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Brisbane City U23
6%
Draws
90%
Queensland Lions U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queensland Lions U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions U23 come out ahead of Brisbane City U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Queensland Lions U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Brisbane City U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane City U23 Queensland Lions U23
Matches Played 19 19
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Brisbane City U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
4:4
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Brisbane City U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane City U23 10 / 100
Queensland Lions U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane City U23 Queensland Lions U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Brisbane City U23 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Queensland Lions U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Queensland Lions U23's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane City U23 VS Queensland Lions U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane City U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Rochedale U23
2 : 0
Brisbane City U23
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
3 : 1
Brisbane City U23
05 Jul
Brisbane City U23
0 : 2
QLD State Team U17
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC U23
3 : 2
Brisbane City U23
20 Jun
Eastern Suburbs U23
3 : 1
Brisbane City U23
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Queensland Lions U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 2
Olympic FC U23
28 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 0
Wynnum Wolves U23
21 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 1
Rochedale U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2319121649:3337
5Gold Coast U2319102746:4232
6Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)