Sport Picks
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Eastern Suburbs
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
34'
34'
Pengelly A.
51'
51'
Cant L.
78'
78'
Doolan B.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Brisbane Roar U23 and Eastern Suburbs finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Brisbane Roar U23 haven't matched Eastern Suburbs's recent run of results.
- Model gives Brisbane Roar U23 a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Eastern Suburbs have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane Roar U23 | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Eastern Suburbs
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:2
Jul 6, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jun 25, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane Roar U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Harrison Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Pengelly A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cant L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brisbane Roar U23 84 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brisbane Roar U23 Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brisbane Roar U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Eastern Suburbs lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brisbane Roar U23 VS Eastern Suburbs
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Brisbane Roar U23
(Home) 14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2 Gold Coast Knights SC
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2 Gold Coast Knights SC
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
24 May
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
15 May
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 3 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 3
Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
16 Jun
Wynnum Wolves
1 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
