Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Queensland 2025 AJ Kelly Park

Olympic FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar U23 play Olympic FC in the NPL Queensland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Olympic FC averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane Roar U23 won 1, Olympic FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Brisbane Roar U23 and 2.19 for Olympic FC. This points to a Olympic FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Brisbane Roar U23

16%

Draws

48%

Olympic FC

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Olympic FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Brisbane Roar U23 picked up more points recently compared to Olympic FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brisbane Roar U23	Olympic FC
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	10
Draws	5	3
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	1.41	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NPL Queensland

Brisbane Roar U23 vs Olympic FC

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

1:5

Aug 3, 2025 NPL Queensland

Brisbane Roar U23 vs Olympic FC

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

May 25, 2025 NPL Queensland

Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar U23

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Aug 4, 2024 NPL Queensland

Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar U23

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 28, 2024 NPL Queensland

Brisbane Roar U23 vs Olympic FC

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Butler C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Olympic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer McMorrow B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lucas C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 34 / 100

Olympic FC 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brisbane Roar U23 Olympic FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olympic FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brisbane Roar U23 attacking → ← attacking Olympic FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Olympic FC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Brisbane Roar U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olympic FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 33

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moreton City Excelsior	22	14	5	3	48:23	47
2	Queensland Lions	22	13	3	6	48:29	42
3	Peninsula	22	11	6	5	45:21	39
4	Eastern Suburbs	22	12	5	5	51:36	38
5	Gold Coast Knights SC	22	11	4	7	29:26	37
6	Olympic FC	22	9	3	10	29:26	30
7	Brisbane City	22	9	3	10	43:42	30
8	Wynnum Wolves	22	7	6	9	41:40	27
9	Gold Coast Utd	22	8	3	11	25:45	27
10	Brisbane Roar U23	22	6	4	12	29:35	22
11	St. George Willawong	22	4	7	11	27:48	19
12	Sunshine Coast Wanderers	22	2	3	17	20:64	9