Sport Picks
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Peninsula
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane 
Match Events
11'
11'
Joseph N.
20'
20'
Canosa R.
35'
35'
Lauton J.
AI Match Summary
Brisbane Roar U23 in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brisbane Roar U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Peninsula have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar U23.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Brisbane Roar U23 taking it.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Peninsula have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane Roar U23 | Peninsula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Peninsula
2:1
May 31, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Peninsula
1:4
Feb 22, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane Roar U23
4:0
Jul 14, 2024 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Brisbane Roar U23
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane Roar U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Canosa R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lauton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Peninsula Compare
Top Goalscorer Joseph N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brisbane Roar U23 56 / 100
Peninsula 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brisbane Roar U23 Peninsula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brisbane Roar U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Peninsula has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Brisbane Roar U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brisbane Roar U23 VS Peninsula
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Brisbane Roar U23
(Home) 14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2 Gold Coast Knights SC
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1 Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2 Gold Coast Knights SC
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
24 May
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
15 May
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 3 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 3
Peninsula
(Away) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
01 Aug
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
