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Brisbane Roar U23 vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Deng N.
54' Event
Williams R.
75' Event
Thom N.

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar U23 in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brisbane Roar U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Brisbane Roar U23
22%
Draws
18%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Rochedale have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar U23.
  • Model gives Brisbane Roar U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U23 Rochedale
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Rochedale
4:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Rochedale
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 56 / 100
Rochedale 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U23 Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar U23 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Rochedale let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Brisbane Roar U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar U23 VS Rochedale
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar U23

(Home)
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1
Rochedale
05 Jul
Brisbane City
1 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
27 Jun
Peninsula
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
20 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 4
Brisbane Roar U23
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Rochedale

(Away)
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1
Rochedale
03 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
1 : 1
Rochedale
26 Jun
Rochedale
4 : 1
Gold Coast Knights SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC18103541:2733
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd18411322:3613
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)