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Brisbane Roar U23 vs Rochedale

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Deng N.
54' Event
Williams R.
75' Event
Thom N.

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar U23 in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brisbane Roar U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brisbane Roar U23
15%
Draws
42%
Rochedale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rochedale have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar U23.
  • Model gives Brisbane Roar U23 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U23 Rochedale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Rochedale
4:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Rochedale
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Rochedale Compare

Top Goalscorer Kljajic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 56 / 100
Rochedale 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U23 Rochedale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brisbane Roar U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar U23 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Rochedale let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Rochedale registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar U23 VS Rochedale
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brisbane Roar U23

(Home)
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2
Brisbane Roar U23
02 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1
Rochedale
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Rochedale

(Away)
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2
SD Raiders
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)