Sport Picks
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Memorial Stadium, Bristol 
Match Events
9'
9'
Harrison E.
(Penalty)
18'
18'
Harrison E.
Assist: Thomas L.
46'
46'
Sub
McConnell G. In: Brophy J.
Out: McConnell G.
AI Match Summary
Bristol Rovers in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bristol Rovers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bristol Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Cambridge Utd.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Bristol Rovers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bristol Rovers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 16%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Bristol Rovers
3:1
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
0:2
Jan 4, 2025 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Bristol Rovers
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bristol Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Harrison E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cambridge Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Watts K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bristol Rovers 31 / 100
Cambridge Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bristol Rovers Cambridge Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bristol Rovers scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Cambridge Utd has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Bristol Rovers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bristol Rovers VS Cambridge Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bristol Rovers
(Home) 19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
08 Aug
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1 Peterborough
Page 1 of 3
Cambridge Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Reading
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
29 Aug
Cambridge Utd
1 : 2 Huddersfield
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
22 Aug
Bromley
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
