Sport Picks
British Virgin Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
World
World Championship 2026 A. O. Shirley Recreation Ground, Road Town 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Lacey J. In: Bertie J.
Out: Lacey J.
46'
46'
Sub
Smith J. In: Marshall M.
Out: Smith J.
54'
54'
Abrams J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with British Virgin Islands advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: British Virgin Islands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- United States Virgin Islands haven't matched British Virgin Islands's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans British Virgin Islands's way, sitting at 90%.
- British Virgin Islands have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor United States Virgin Islands, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 68%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | British Virgin Islands | United States Virgin Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 2.83 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2024 World Championship
British Virgin Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Mar 22, 2024 World Championship
United States Virgin Islands vs British Virgin Islands
1:1
Jul 10, 2011 World Championship
British Virgin Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:2
Jul 3, 2011 World Championship
United States Virgin Islands vs British Virgin Islands
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
British Virgin Islands 95 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
British Virgin Islands United States Virgin Islands
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
United States Virgin Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: British Virgin Islands scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: British Virgin Islands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
British Virgin Islands VS United States Virgin Islands
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.83
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
British Virgin Islands
(Home) 06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0 Bonaire
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0 British Virgin Islands
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0 Anguilla
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1 British Virgin Islands
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6 British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0 Bonaire
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0 Anguilla
07 Jun
British Virgin Islands
0 : 1 Jamaica
09 Oct
British Virgin Islands
1 : 3 Saint Kitts and Nevis
04 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 1 Cayman Islands
Page 1 of 3
United States Virgin Islands
(Away) 29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2 American Samoa
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1 Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Bahamas
3 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
13 Oct
Bahamas
3 : 1 United States Virgin Islands
10 Sept
Barbados
3 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
26 Mar
British Virgin Islands
1 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Anguilla2
Turks and Caicos Islands1
United States Virgin Islands1
British Virgin Islands2