Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brunei U23 vs Timor-Leste U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Said H.
30' Event
Mouzinho
45' Event
Freitas Gali

AI Match Summary

Timor-Leste U23 in this AFF Championship U23 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Timor-Leste U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Brunei U23
15%
Draws
85%
Timor-Leste U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Timor-Leste U23 have won more games recently than Brunei U23.
  • Model gives Timor-Leste U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Timor-Leste U23 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Brunei U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunei U23 Timor-Leste U23
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 3
Losses 26 20
Goals Scored 0.19 1.27
Goals Conceded 5.73 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Brunei U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
1:3
Jun 3, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Brunei U23
2:1
Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Brunei U23
3:0
Nov 5, 2011 Southeast Asian Games
Brunei U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunei U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Said H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouzinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas Gali
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunei U23 10 / 100
Timor-Leste U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunei U23 Timor-Leste U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Timor-Leste U23 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Timor-Leste U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Brunei U23 scored in 19% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brunei U23 VS Timor-Leste U23
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
7.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Brunei U23

(Home)
09 Sept
India U23
6 : 0
Brunei U23
06 Sept
Brunei U23
0 : 10
Bahrain U23
03 Sept
Qatar U23
13 : 0
Brunei U23
21 Jul
Philippines U23
2 : 0
Brunei U23
18 Jul
Brunei U23
1 : 7
Malaysia U23
Page 1 of 6

Timor-Leste U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timor-Leste U23 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Philippines U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laos U23 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Malaysia U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
3 Indonesia U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Myanmar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Thailand U23 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Singapore U23 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2022 (Play Offs)