Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusque vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Alisson Cassiano
35'
Nicolas
46'
Sub
Diego Goncalves In: Willean Lepo
Out: Diego Goncalves

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brusque
20%
Draws
38%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Brusque.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Brusque taking it.
  • Criciuma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Criciuma
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.28 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Criciuma
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Brusque
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 Catarinense
Brusque vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Brusque
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Catarinense
Brusque vs Criciuma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonata Robert
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 50 / 100
Criciuma 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Brusque went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Criciuma let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Criciuma
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
Page 1 of 6

Criciuma

(Away)
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1
Criciuma
15 Aug
Criciuma
1 : 0
Goias
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0
Criciuma
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 2
Criciuma 6
TBD -
Brusque -
Santa Catarina 1
Avai 5
TBD -
Camboriu -
Semi-finals
Criciuma 1
Brusque 0
Avai 0
Camboriu 1
Final
Criciuma 4
Camboriu 3