Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Kouakou C.
29'
29'
Tavares D.
32'
32'
Fati E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between BSAD and Mafra finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Mafra carry the better recent record into this one.
- BSAD are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
BSAD Clean Sheet 68%
Mafra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BSAD | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Mafra
2:2
Jan 7, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs BSAD
0:1
Jul 24, 2021 League Cup
Mafra vs BSAD
1:0
Sep 8, 2018 Club Friendly
Mafra vs BSAD
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BSAD Compare
Top Goalscorer Montez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jeffinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Mafra Compare
Top Goalscorer Fati E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dos Santos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BSAD 50 / 100
Mafra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BSAD Mafra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BSAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BSAD found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Mafra conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Solid form: BSAD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mafra
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
BSAD
(Home) 11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1 BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1 Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2 Mafra
Page 1 of 7
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1 Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2 Mafra
30 Apr
BSAD
0 : 1 Covilha
15 Apr
BSAD
1 : 1 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 3
Mafra
(Away) 12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0 Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3 Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 Mafra
15 Aug
Atletico CP
1 : 1 Mafra
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3 Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 Mafra
15 Aug
Atletico CP
1 : 1 Mafra
15 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 2 Mafra
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 77:38 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 57:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 55:35 | 63 |
| 4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Mafra | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42:36 | 46 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Torreense | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 51:50 | 43 |
| 11 | Tondela | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 35:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:47 | 39 |
| 13 | Nacional | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Benfica B | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | BSAD | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Trofense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:51 | 32 |
| 18 | Covilha | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:57 | 28 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)
