Sport Picks

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Buhimba vs Lugazi

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 The Royals Park, Butema
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mungudit F.
88' Event
Hamza M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Buhimba and Lugazi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugazi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Buhimba
15%
Draws
85%
Lugazi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lugazi come out ahead of Buhimba on wins alone.
  • Lugazi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 17%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buhimba Lugazi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.53 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Premier League
Buhimba vs Lugazi
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Lugazi vs Buhimba
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Lugazi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mungudit F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buhimba 10 / 100
Lugazi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buhimba Lugazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugazi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Lugazi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Lugazi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Buhimba's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Buhimba VS Lugazi
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Buhimba

(Home)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

Lugazi

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)