Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria U18 vs Austria U18

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pavlov K.

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U18 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bulgaria U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bulgaria U18
35%
Draws
32%
Austria U18
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Austria U18 lately — more wins on the board than Bulgaria U18.
  • Bulgaria U18 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Austria U18 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bulgaria U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Austria U18 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U18 Austria U18
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.71 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2023 Friendly International
Bulgaria U18 vs Austria U18
0:1
Jun 15, 2023 Friendly International
Bulgaria U18 vs Austria U18
1:0
Nov 12, 2011 Friendly International
Bulgaria U18 vs Austria U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Austria U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U18 49 / 100
Austria U18 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U18 Austria U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austria U18 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Bulgaria U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bulgaria U18 scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U18 VS Austria U18
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U18

(Home)
10 Jun
Romania U18
1 : 1
Bulgaria U18
08 Jun
Romania U18
1 : 0
Bulgaria U18
18 Jun
Bulgaria U18
0 : 1
Austria U18
15 Jun
Bulgaria U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
27 Mar
Bulgaria U18
1 : 1
Poland U18
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Austria U18

(Away)
23 Sept
France U18
1 : 2
Austria U18
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
22 Mar
Sweden U18
2 : 0
Austria U18
20 Mar
Germany U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
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