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Bunyaruguru vs Ntugasaze

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

1 - 1
FT
Ntugasaze Logo

Ntugasaze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Bunyaruguru and Ntugasaze finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bunyaruguru
15%
Draws
28%
Ntugasaze
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ntugasaze come out ahead of Bunyaruguru on wins alone.
  • Bunyaruguru are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 16%
Ntugasaze Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyaruguru Ntugasaze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Big League
Ntugasaze vs Bunyaruguru
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Ntugasaze
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyaruguru 39 / 100
Ntugasaze 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyaruguru Ntugasaze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bunyaruguru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bunyaruguru scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ntugasaze lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ntugasaze conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyaruguru VS Ntugasaze
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyaruguru

(Home)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Ntugasaze

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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