Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyodkor vs Buxoro

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nematjonov S.
Assist: Akhmadjonov N.
13'
Sub
Juraev A. In: Rajabov O.
Out: Juraev A.
29'
Annamatov M.

AI Match Summary

Bunyodkor in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bunyodkor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bunyodkor
15%
Draws
49%
Buxoro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Bunyodkor have won more games recently than Buxoro.
  • Model gives Buxoro a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Buxoro
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.09 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro
2:1
Jul 21, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Bunyodkor
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro
2:4
Aug 17, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Bunyodkor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Nematjonov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikromov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamasidikov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 14 / 100
Buxoro 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Buxoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxoro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bunyodkor's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Buxoro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Buxoro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Buxoro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
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Buxoro

(Away)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
11 Qizilqum 21 8 2 11 20:29 26
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 21 5 6 10 17:29 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)