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Burgess Hill vs Cray Wanderers

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ogunwamide O.
9' Event
Vorster G.
23' Event
Vorster G.

AI Match Summary

Burgess Hill in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgess Hill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Burgess Hill
35%
Draws
31%
Cray Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burgess Hill lately — more wins on the board than Cray Wanderers.
  • Win probability leans Burgess Hill's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 16%
Cray Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgess Hill Cray Wanderers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Cray Wanderers
4:2
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Wanderers vs Burgess Hill
3:3
Aug 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Burgess Hill vs Cray Wanderers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgess Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Vorster G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rowe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cray Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogunwamide O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgess Hill 39 / 100
Cray Wanderers 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgess Hill Cray Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Burgess Hill stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Burgess Hill scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cray Wanderers conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Burgess Hill VS Cray Wanderers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgess Hill

(Home)
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Ramsgate
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0
Jersey Bulls
31 Aug
Whitehawk
1 : 1
Burgess Hill
28 Aug
Burgess Hill
2 : 1
Dartford
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Cray Wanderers

(Away)
15 Sept
Cray Wanderers
3 : 3
St. Albans
12 Sept
Enfield Town
3 : 2
Cray Wanderers
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
31 Aug
Cray Wanderers
4 : 1
Welling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)