Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burgos CF vs Dep. A Coruna

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio El Plantío, Burgos
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nsongo B.
Assist: Cruz L.
30'
Gonzalez M.
41'
Quagliata G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burgos CF
35%
Draws
32%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna have won more games recently than Burgos CF.
  • Model gives Burgos CF a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 18%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 10
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.18 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Burgos CF
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Dep. A Coruna
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Burgos CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsongo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 36 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgos CF's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dep. A Coruna has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Burgos CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Dep. A Coruna
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
23 Aug
Gijon
1 : 0
Burgos CF
16 Aug
Burgos CF
3 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
24 Aug
Malaga
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)