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Buriram United F.C. vs Ayutthaya United

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup Chang Arena, Buriram
Buriram United F.C. Logo

Buriram United F.C.

5 - 0
FT
Ayutthaya United Logo

Ayutthaya United

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Wellington Priori
17' Event
Walsh S.
30'
Sukjitthammakul P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buriram United F.C. in this Thai FA Cup tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Buriram United F.C.
6%
Draws
4%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Ayutthaya United.
  • Model gives Buriram United F.C. a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Buriram United F.C. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Buriram United F.C., who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Buriram United F.C. here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 27 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Ayutthaya United
5:0
Apr 12, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Ayutthaya United
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United F.C.
1:4
Jul 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Ayutthaya United vs Buriram United F.C.
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schindler K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ayutthaya United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 95 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Ayutthaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buriram United F.C. scored in 92% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Buriram United F.C. stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ayutthaya United's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Ayutthaya United
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 8

Ayutthaya United

(Away)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Phichit United1
Udon Thani City0
Chiangrai Utd19
Sing Pathumthani0
Prime Bangkok1
Khonkaen FC0
Royal Thai Fleet FC1
FC ACDC0
Uthai Thani3
Kasem Bundit0
Chiangmai United2
Prachuap6
Pathum United4
Kamphaeng Phet0
Surin Sugar2
Ubonkids City9
Muang Thong Utd10
Romklao United0
Surat Thani City1
Lamphun Warrior4
Sukhothai3
Yala1
Thonburi Forest0
Nong Bua Pitchaya7
Burapha United0
Port MTI FC4
Bangkok Utd7
Samut Sakhon City0
Kanchanaburi4
Nara United0
Chonburi1
Police Tero2
Customs Utd3
Nonthaburi United0
Buriram United F.C.12
Warin Chamrap0
See Khwae City0
Pattani1
Cha Choeng Sao0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Samui United2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng0
Nong Khai FC0
Khonkaen United5
Bankhai United5
Nakhon Nayok0
Kasetsart1
Nakhon Pathom2
Ayutthaya United1
Udon United0
Roi Et 20182
Samut Songkhram City0
Siwilai0
Uttaradit FC2
Pattaya City1
Chiangmai FC0
Marines FC0
Sisaket United3
Mahasarakham1
Rayong FC4
Muangnont0
Phitsanulok1
Lopburi City2
Ratchaburi3
1/16-finals
Phichit United2
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok3
Royal Thai Fleet FC2
Uthai Thani0
Prachuap1
Pathum United10
Ubonkids City0
Muang Thong Utd0
Lamphun Warrior1
Sukhothai3
Nong Bua Pitchaya0
Port MTI FC0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Police Tero0
Customs Utd1
Buriram United F.C.5
Pattani2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Samui United1
Khonkaen United3
Bankhai United1
Nakhon Pathom3
Ayutthaya United6
Roi Et 20180
Uttaradit FC1
Pattaya City0
Sisaket United1
Rayong FC0
Phitsanulok1
Ratchaburi2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok2
Prachuap1
Pathum United0
Lamphun Warrior2
Sukhothai0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Buriram United F.C.4
Pattani0
Khonkaen United2
Nakhon Pathom0
Ayutthaya United3
Uttaradit FC0
Sisaket United1
Ratchaburi3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd0
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior2
Bangkok Utd1
Buriram United F.C.6
Khonkaen United0
Ayutthaya United1
Ratchaburi0
Semi-finals
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior0
Buriram United F.C.5
Ayutthaya United0
Final
Prachuap0
Buriram United F.C.1