Sport Picks
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
Thailand
League Cup IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium, Chonburi 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Haiprakon S. In: Walsh S.
Out: Haiprakon S.
39'
39'
Hemviboon P.
40'
40'
Sareepim S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Pathum United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Buriram United F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Buriram United F.C. come out ahead of Pathum United on wins alone.
- Buriram United F.C. are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Buriram United F.C. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pathum United, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 14%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buriram United F.C. | Pathum United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.29 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 League Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Sareepim S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buriram United F.C. 39 / 100
Pathum United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buriram United F.C. Pathum United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buriram United F.C.'s goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Pathum United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Buriram United F.C. VS Pathum United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.29
100% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Buriram United F.C.
(Home) 26 Jul
Pathum Thani United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Selangor
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2 Johor DT
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 4
Pathum United
(Away) 12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0 Pathum United
08 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 1 Pathum United
04 Apr
Kanchanaburi
0 : 2 Pathum United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1
