Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

League Cup Chang Arena, Buriram
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mueanta S.
60' Event
Sanchez R.
66' Event
Mueanta S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Buriram United F.C.
20%
Draws
36%
Prachuap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Prachuap haven't matched Buriram United F.C.'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Buriram United F.C.'s way, sitting at 50%.
  • Buriram United F.C. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Buriram United F.C., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buriram United F.C. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Prachuap
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 League Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Buriram United F.C.
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Mueanta S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Taua
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phasukihan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 49 / 100
Prachuap 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Prachuap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C. found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (35 games).

Solid form: Buriram United F.C. remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Prachuap conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Prachuap
2.38 Goals Scored 0.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 7

Prachuap

(Away)
19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3
Prachuap
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani 2
Ratchaburi 0
Nakhon Pathom 0
Uthai Thani 2
Thonburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 4
Samut Sakhon City 0
Prachuap 2
Bangkok FC 0
Muang Thong Utd 4
Uttaradit FC 0
Pathum United 4
Mahasarakham 2
Rayong FC 1
Lopburi City 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2
Satun FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1
Chonburi 5
Thap Luang United 1
Chiangrai Utd 0
Customs Utd 2
Sukhothai 3
Chainat Hornbill 0
Port MTI FC 5
Bankhai United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 1
Kanchanaburi 0
Pattaya United 0
Bangkok Utd 3
1/8-finals
Pattani 2
Uthai Thani 1
Buriram United F.C. 3
Prachuap 2
Muang Thong Utd 0
Pathum United 2
Mahasarakham 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 0
Chonburi 3
Thap Luang United 1
Sukhothai 0
Port MTI FC 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bangkok Utd 2
Quarter-finals
Pattani 0
Buriram United F.C. 3
Pathum United 3
Mahasarakham 0
Chonburi 1
Thap Luang United 0
Port MTI FC 7
Khonkaen United 0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C. 0
Pathum United 1
Chonburi 3
Port MTI FC 4
Final
Pathum United 0
Port MTI FC 1