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Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap

Thailand Thailand

League Cup Chang Arena, Buriram
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mueanta S.
60' Event
Sanchez R.
66' Event
Mueanta S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Buriram United F.C. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Buriram United F.C.
22%
Draws
18%
Prachuap
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Prachuap haven't matched Buriram United F.C.'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Buriram United F.C.'s way, sitting at 60%.
  • Buriram United F.C. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Buriram United F.C., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buriram United F.C. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 16%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Prachuap
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 League Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Buriram United F.C.
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Prachuap
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Buriram United F.C.
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Mueanta S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Taua
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phasukihan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 57 / 100
Prachuap 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Prachuap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C. found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Prachuap conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Buriram United F.C. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Prachuap
1.63 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2
Johor DT
Page 1 of 7

Prachuap

(Away)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1