Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland
Burnley U23 Logo

Burnley U23

5 - 1
FT
Newcastle Utd U23 Logo

Newcastle Utd U23

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Turner-Cooke J.
Assist: Stephenson D.
39'
Harker R.
57' Event
Woods B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Burnley U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnley U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Burnley U23
15%
Draws
20%
Newcastle Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle Utd U23 lately — more wins on the board than Burnley U23.
  • Win probability leans Burnley U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U23 Newcastle Utd U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
5:1
Aug 27, 2021 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
2:0
Feb 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Burnley U23
0:2
Sep 25, 2020 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
1:3
Jan 18, 2018 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Harker R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Turner-Cooke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U23 84 / 100
Newcastle Utd U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U23 Newcastle Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Newcastle Utd U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Burnley U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U23 VS Newcastle Utd U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U23

(Away)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)