Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024

Bursa Yildirimspor

6 - 1

Catalca Spor

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Erdol G.

36'

Demirci H.

45'

Kilic D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bursa Yildirimspor in this 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursa Yildirimspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Bursa Yildirimspor

22%

Draws

18%

Catalca Spor

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Bursa Yildirimspor have won more games recently than Catalca Spor.
Win probability leans Bursa Yildirimspor's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Bursa Yildirimspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 68%

Catalca Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bursa Yildirimspor	Catalca Spor
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	14	6
Draws	10	11
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 4

Bursa Yildirimspor vs Catalca Spor

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

6:1

Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 4

Catalca Spor vs Bursa Yildirimspor

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Apr 2, 2022 3. Lig Group 1

Bursa Yildirimspor vs Catalca Spor

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Nov 14, 2021 3. Lig Group 1

Catalca Spor vs Bursa Yildirimspor

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdol G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Demirci H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Catalca Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Serbest K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 68 / 100

Catalca Spor 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bursa Yildirimspor Catalca Spor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Catalca Spor has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Catalca Spor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Adana 01	28	20	3	5	60:27	63
2	Sebat Spor Kulubu	28	15	5	8	42:27	50
3	Musspor	28	12	11	5	41:29	47
4	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	28	12	9	7	32:27	45
5	Alanya 1221	28	11	10	7	42:33	43
6	Bursa Yildirimspor	28	11	9	8	39:34	42
7	Orduspor 1967	28	11	8	9	49:33	41
8	Balikesirspor	28	7	12	9	28:32	33
9	Izmir Coruhlu	28	8	7	13	34:39	31
10	Cankaya FK	28	6	13	9	26:37	31
11	23 Elazig FK	28	8	7	13	25:42	31
12	Nevsehir	28	8	6	14	19:31	30
13	Siirt Ozel	28	7	8	13	21:32	29
14	Catalca Spor	28	5	11	12	27:38	26
15	Sultanbeyli	28	6	7	15	26:50	25