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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Catalca Spor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Erdol G.
36' Event
Demirci H.
45' Event
Kilic D.

AI Match Summary

Bursa Yildirimspor in this 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursa Yildirimspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Bursa Yildirimspor
35%
Draws
10%
Catalca Spor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor have won more games recently than Catalca Spor.
  • Win probability leans Bursa Yildirimspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bursa Yildirimspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 68%
Catalca Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Catalca Spor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.32 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Catalca Spor
6:1
Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Catalca Spor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:1
Apr 2, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Catalca Spor
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Catalca Spor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdol G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demirci H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Catalca Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Serbest K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 95 / 100
Catalca Spor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Catalca Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursa Yildirimspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bursa Yildirimspor scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Catalca Spor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursa Yildirimspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
05 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Soke 1970
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Catalca Spor

(Away)
27 Apr
Catalca Spor
1 : 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
21 Apr
Adana 01
3 : 1
Catalca Spor
14 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
07 Apr
Cankaya FK
1 : 1
Catalca Spor
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)