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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bursa Yildirimspor play Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bursa Yildirimspor averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Bursa Yildirimspor won 1, Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Bursa Yildirimspor and 1.00 for Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu. This points to a Bursa Yildirimspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bursa Yildirimspor
35%
Draws
27%
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor picked up more points recently compared to Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 23%
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 14
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Guventurk G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 39 / 100
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bursa Yildirimspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bursa Yildirimspor attacking → ← attacking Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bursa Yildirimspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Bursa Nilufer301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515