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Burundi U23 vs Eritrea U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nshimirimana I.
53' Event
Rukundo A.
83' Event
Hakizimana I.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship game between Burundi U23 and Eritrea U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burundi U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Burundi U23
25%
Draws
14%
Eritrea U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Burundi U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Eritrea U23 haven't matched Burundi U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Burundi U23 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Burundi U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Eritrea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi U23 Eritrea U23
Matches Played 6 3
Wins 2 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Burundi U23 vs Eritrea U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burundi U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nshimirimana I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rukundo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Eritrea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi U23 76 / 100
Eritrea U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi U23 Eritrea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eritrea U23 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Attacking prowess: Burundi U23 scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Burundi U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burundi U23 VS Eritrea U23
1 Goals Scored 1.33
0.67 Goals Conceded 2.67
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi U23

(Home)
30 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0
Burundi U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
23 Jul
Ethiopia U23
1 : 1
Burundi U23
20 Jul
Burundi U23
3 : 0
Eritrea U23
26 Mar
Congo U23
2 : 1
Burundi U23
Page 1 of 2

Eritrea U23

(Away)
28 Jul
Eritrea U23
1 : 2
Uganda U23
20 Jul
Burundi U23
3 : 0
Eritrea U23
17 Jul
Ethiopia U23
3 : 3
Eritrea U23

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Uganda U23 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 D.R. Congo U23 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U23 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Ethiopia U23 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Eritrea U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U23 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 South Sudan U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Djibouti U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams